Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Rathan-Mayes * | 38 | 14-26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 17 | - |
| M. Brandon * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Bookert * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| P. Cofer * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Ojo * | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| B. Bojanovsky | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Turpin | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Berwick | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 2-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| I. Hicks | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Britt | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. James | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hubert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter