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2015-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 15.2% 84.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Watkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
X. Rathan-Mayes * 38 14-26 5-11 2-5 5 4 2 0 3 35 17 -
M. Brandon * 38 2-10 0-1 5-5 3 1 0 0 1 9 2 -
D. Bookert * 35 4-12 3-9 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 11 5 -
P. Cofer * 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Ojo * 5 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Smith 23 3-3 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 3 1 9 14 -
B. Bojanovsky 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 1 2 3 -
K. Turpin 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. Berwick 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 35 6-13 2-5 5-6 2 3 2 0 1 19 12 -
J. Jackson * 34 6-15 0-3 2-7 4 3 0 1 1 14 6 -
J.P. Tokoto * 34 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 3 1 1 0 9 11 -
K. Meeks * 30 4-9 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 1 0 12 12 -
B. Johnson * 23 7-9 0-0 4-7 14 0 0 0 2 18 21 -
I. Hicks 18 0-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
N. Britt 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. James 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter