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2015-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 14.0% 86.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Log Adjusted 6.6% 93.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Hanlan * 37 5-19 1-5 7-10 4 4 2 0 1 18 8 -
A. Brown * 36 6-12 2-6 6-8 3 0 0 0 2 20 9 -
D. Clifford * 34 2-5 0-1 3-3 8 1 0 1 2 7 10 -
D. Batten * 29 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 6 2 -
P. Heckmann * 21 3-6 1-3 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
G. Owens 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Odio 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Cain Carney 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Perpiglia 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 36 7-12 2-7 1-1 6 9 2 1 4 17 19 -
B. Johnson * 34 8-17 0-0 1-1 9 1 1 0 0 17 11 -
J.P. Tokoto * 30 2-5 0-0 2-2 9 4 0 3 0 6 17 -
J. Jackson * 27 4-7 2-3 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 12 8 -
J. James * 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Berry II 18 2-4 0-1 3-5 5 1 0 0 2 7 7 -
I. Hicks 15 2-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 0 7 8 -
N. Britt 13 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
J. Simmons 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Coleman 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Dalton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter