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2015-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 12.7% 87.3% +10.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Connaughton * 39 5-11 4-7 2-4 9 1 0 3 2 16 16 -
J. Grant * 37 1-8 0-4 6-6 4 8 1 2 2 8 13 -
Z. Auguste * 33 6-10 0-0 6-6 6 0 0 2 2 18 14 -
D. Jackson * 32 6-11 2-5 1-1 1 4 2 0 0 15 11 -
S. Vasturia * 31 2-6 1-3 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
V.J. Beachem 17 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
M. Geben 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Burgett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Torres 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 38 6-17 2-8 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 15 3 -
J.P. Tokoto * 31 4-9 1-2 3-4 5 2 2 0 3 12 9 -
B. Johnson * 27 3-11 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
J. Jackson * 23 2-4 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
K. Meeks * 17 3-8 0-0 6-6 4 1 1 1 1 12 10 -
T. Pinson 16 3-5 1-2 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 7 10 -
N. Britt 14 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. Berry II 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. James 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Hicks 8 2-2 0-0 1-5 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
D. Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter