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2015-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Qualls * 35 8-19 1-6 10-11 10 3 1 0 3 27 19 -
B. Portis * 34 5-15 1-2 7-9 14 3 5 0 4 18 21 -
R. Madden * 30 5-8 2-5 1-2 2 5 1 1 3 13 11 -
A. Harris * 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 0 -3 -
A. Beard * 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Bell 22 4-8 3-6 0-0 0 1 0 1 4 11 1 -
J. Williams 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Durham 16 1-4 1-4 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Kingsley 14 1-2 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 4 7 -
M. Watkins 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 37 6-13 0-2 4-6 3 1 2 0 3 16 6 -
B. Johnson * 34 2-8 0-0 3-4 13 3 2 2 1 7 18 -
M. Paige * 29 5-14 3-6 9-9 6 0 5 0 3 22 16 -
J.P. Tokoto * 26 4-9 0-0 5-7 5 8 2 0 0 13 19 -
K. Meeks * 15 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 9 4 -
N. Britt 23 2-4 1-2 5-5 4 1 1 0 1 10 11 -
I. Hicks 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Berry II 11 2-5 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 6 -2 -
J. James 9 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
T. Pinson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter