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2015-01-03

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 83.1% 16.9% -
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.0% 8.0% -
Log Adjusted 92.1% 7.9% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -24 (50-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 27 6-8 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
M. Paige * 26 4-7 3-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 11 11 -
K. Meeks * 22 4-11 0-0 4-5 12 2 0 0 0 12 15 -
J.P. Tokoto * 22 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 7 0 0 2 3 8 -
B. Johnson * 19 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 1 10 11 -
N. Britt 17 2-5 1-2 3-4 1 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
T. Pinson 17 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. James 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
I. Hicks 14 1-5 0-1 4-4 4 0 1 1 0 6 7 -
J. Berry II 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Simmons 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Hubert 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Coleman 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Grantham * 30 3-12 1-7 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 9 4 -
R. Hall * 28 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Blossomgame * 28 4-11 1-3 4-5 4 0 0 0 0 13 6 -
L. Nnoko * 23 0-2 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 3 0 2 11 -
D. Harrison * 21 4-9 3-6 0-1 2 2 0 0 2 11 4 -
S. Djitte 16 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 2 1 2 6 -
J. Roper 14 1-5 0-2 1-3 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
J. Smith 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
G. DeVoe 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
A. Ajukwa 8 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
P. Rooks 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. McGillan 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter