Model Predictions
| Model | UAB Blazers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.8% | 99.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (89-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Brown * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | -12.4 |
| Nick Norton * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -3.5 |
| William Lee * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Tosin Mehinti * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -9.1 |
| Hakeem Baxter * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -6.2 |
| C.J. Washington | 21 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Chris Cokley | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -8.1 |
| Tyler Madison | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Denzell Watts | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Lewis Sullivan | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Jarvis Calhoun | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 28 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +19.9 |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +12.1 |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +11.5 |
| Justin Jackson * | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +7.1 |
| Brice Johnson * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +10.5 |
| Theo Pinson | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +8.7 |
| Joel Berry II | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Isaiah Hicks | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Nate Britt | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Joel James | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Jackson Simmons | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Desmond Hubert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +6.4 |
| Stilman White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Justin Coleman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Sasha Seymore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
* = starter