Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Paige * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Berry II | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| I. Hicks | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. James | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Britt | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Pinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gasser * | 40 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| F. Kaminsky * | 39 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Dekker * | 32 | 10-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| B. Koenig * | 23 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Dukan | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jackson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. Showalter | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter