Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Jones * | 37 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 37 | 10-21 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Aaron | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Q. Snider | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 22 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Britt | 21 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Pinson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| I. Hicks | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Berry II | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Hubert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter