Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Johnson * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Paige * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| I. Hicks * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| N. Britt * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| K. Meeks | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Berry II | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. James | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Hanlan * | 40 | 10-20 | 2-9 | 8-9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 6 | - |
| A. Brown * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| P. Heckmann * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Batten * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Clifford * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Odio | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Owens | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Cain Carney | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter