Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✗ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -22 (56-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige * | 27 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| I. Hicks * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. James * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Britt * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 27 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| B. Johnson | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Meeks | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Pinson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Berry II | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Hubert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Seymore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Alford * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1 | - |
| I. Hamilton * | 31 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -10 | - |
| N. Powell * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Parker * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Looney * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| N. Allen | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Welsh | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| G. Goloman | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| W. Bail | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Alford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter