Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -12 (46-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lacey * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Barber * | 36 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| R. Turner * | 35 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Abu * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Freeman * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Anya | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| K. Washington | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Lee | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Martin | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 35 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Paige * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| I. Hicks | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Britt | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Berry II | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter