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2015-02-24

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Log Adjusted 54.5% 45.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -12 (46-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lacey * 36 4-13 2-6 4-6 6 3 2 1 2 14 11 -
C. Barber * 36 6-16 0-2 3-4 4 4 0 0 3 15 4 -
R. Turner * 35 5-12 4-8 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
A. Abu * 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
L. Freeman * 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
B. Anya 32 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 6 1 5 16 -
K. Washington 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Lee 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Martin 5 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 35 7-17 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 16 3 -
J.P. Tokoto * 35 1-6 0-0 1-2 7 2 3 0 2 3 7 -
M. Paige * 35 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 7 0 0 2 7 7 -
K. Meeks * 30 5-10 0-1 2-4 14 1 1 3 1 12 20 -
B. Johnson * 24 1-6 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 3 1 4 6 -
I. Hicks 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
N. Britt 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. James 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Berry II 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter