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2015-02-14

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 68.6% 31.4% -8.8 โœ— (21.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% - โœ—
Margin 85.1% 14.9% -9.6 โœ— (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 89.0% 11.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 69.4% 30.6% - โœ—

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +13 (89-76). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Paige * 32 3-11 1-7 1-2 5 6 1 1 0 8 10 -
Brice Johnson * 28 7-11 0-0 5-7 3 1 0 0 1 19 11 -
Justin Jackson * 26 3-7 1-3 1-3 5 6 0 0 0 8 12 -
Isaiah Hicks * 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
Nate Britt * 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
Joel Berry II 28 2-6 1-3 3-4 2 6 0 0 0 8 10 -
J.P. Tokoto 24 2-8 0-1 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
Kennedy Meeks 19 6-8 0-0 3-5 3 1 0 1 0 15 12 -
Jackson Simmons 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Joel James 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheldon Jeter * 35 10-14 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 22 11 -
James Robinson * 35 5-7 2-2 0-0 4 8 0 0 1 12 16 -
Cameron Wright * 30 7-11 0-0 1-4 3 10 0 2 0 15 19 -
Jamel Artis * 27 3-6 2-3 3-4 5 5 1 0 0 11 16 -
Michael Young * 19 6-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 13 10 -
Chris Jones 27 4-7 2-5 0-1 2 6 1 0 1 10 11 -
Derrick Randall 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Josh Newkirk 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Joseph Uchebo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter