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2015-02-14

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% -
Bradley-Terry 68.1% 31.9% -
Margin 75.4% 24.6% -6.2 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 68.8% 31.2% -
Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% -
Log Adjusted 72.1% 27.9% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 32 3-11 1-7 1-2 5 6 1 1 0 8 10 -
B. Johnson * 28 7-11 0-0 5-7 3 1 0 0 1 19 11 -
J. Jackson * 26 3-7 1-3 1-3 5 6 0 0 0 8 12 -
I. Hicks * 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
N. Britt * 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
J. Berry II 28 2-6 1-3 3-4 2 6 0 0 0 8 10 -
J.P. Tokoto 24 2-8 0-1 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
K. Meeks 19 6-8 0-0 3-5 3 1 0 1 0 15 12 -
J. Simmons 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. James 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Jeter * 35 10-14 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 22 11 -
J. Robinson * 35 5-7 2-2 0-0 4 8 0 0 1 12 16 -
C. Wright * 30 7-11 0-0 1-4 3 10 0 2 0 15 19 -
J. Artis * 27 3-6 2-3 3-4 5 5 1 0 0 11 16 -
M. Young * 19 6-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 13 10 -
C. Jones 27 4-7 2-5 0-1 2 6 1 0 1 10 11 -
D. Randall 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
J. Newkirk 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Uchebo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter