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2015-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% -
Efficiency 79.3% 20.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% -
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Perrantes * 37 6-10 1-3 2-4 1 6 2 0 2 15 12 -
J. Anderson * 36 6-10 3-5 1-2 3 7 2 2 1 16 19 -
M. Brogdon * 36 5-13 1-2 6-6 3 3 2 0 2 17 10 -
D. Atkins * 32 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 2 1 6 4 -
M. Tobey * 19 3-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 2 2 8 5 -
A. Gill 27 6-8 0-0 1-3 7 1 1 1 0 13 15 -
M. Shayok 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Nolte 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
I. Wilkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 34 5-10 3-7 2-3 2 4 2 0 1 15 12 -
J.P. Tokoto * 30 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Jackson * 28 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
K. Meeks * 28 4-8 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 0 6 11 6 -
B. Johnson * 26 7-14 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 3 0 14 13 -
N. Britt 28 3-7 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 9 3 -
I. Hicks 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. James 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter