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North Carolina Tar Heels 82
@
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 90
2015-03-14

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 ✗ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% - ✓

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +8 (90-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 38 9-18 5-11 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 24 11 -
J.P. Tokoto * 33 3-3 1-1 0-0 6 7 4 0 1 7 20 -
B. Johnson * 32 10-12 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 20 12 -
J. Jackson * 31 3-12 0-7 1-2 3 1 0 1 3 7 -3 -
K. Meeks * 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Berry II 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 4 1 0 1 7 7 -
I. Hicks 14 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 9 4 -
J. James 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Britt 8 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
J. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Connaughton * 38 7-9 4-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 20 17 -
D. Jackson * 37 4-6 1-3 2-2 2 4 3 0 4 11 10 -
Z. Auguste * 36 4-9 0-0 8-9 13 1 2 1 1 16 23 -
S. Vasturia * 35 5-10 3-6 1-1 4 0 2 0 3 14 7 -
J. Grant * 35 4-10 1-4 15-18 0 10 0 0 2 24 22 -
V.J. Beachem 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 2 -
B. Colson 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter