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Duke Blue Devils 84
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 77
2015-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Margin 50.2% 49.8% -0.1 ✓ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - ✓
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.1% 29.9% - ✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Cook * 38 7-16 4-10 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 20 9 -
T. Jones * 37 5-10 2-4 12-12 6 7 3 0 1 24 29 -
J. Okafor * 32 7-9 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 1 2 14 9 -
J. Winslow * 22 5-9 1-3 2-4 4 1 2 0 3 13 8 -
M. Jones * 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 3 2 -
A. Jefferson 31 1-3 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 2 2 3 6 -
G. Allen 11 1-6 1-4 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
M. Plumlee 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 37 6-10 5-9 6-6 1 5 3 0 3 23 19 -
B. Johnson * 30 8-12 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 2 2 17 12 -
J.P. Tokoto * 29 4-9 0-0 2-2 6 5 2 2 4 10 12 -
J. Simmons * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Davis * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Jackson 26 5-7 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 14 10 -
K. Meeks 23 1-7 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 1 2 7 -
J. James 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
N. Britt 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
I. Hicks 9 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Berry II 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
T. Pinson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter