Miami Heat
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 821 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 756 (#29) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.8 (#29) | HCA +4.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.232 (#29) | - |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-03-07 | vs | DAL | L | 89 - 91 |
| 2003-03-08 | vs | DEN | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2003-03-10 | vs | UTA | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2003-03-11 | @ | CLE | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2003-03-14 | vs | NOH | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ | WAS | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2003-03-18 | vs | PHI | L | 83 - 103 |
| 2003-03-19 | @ | ORL | L | 93 - 109 |
| 2003-03-21 | vs | TOR | W | 107 - 98 |
| 2003-03-23 | vs | ORL | L | 74 - 96 |
| 2003-03-25 | @ | MIN | L | 91 - 108 |
| 2003-03-26 | @ | CHI | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2003-03-28 | vs | MIN | W | 111 - 84 |
| 2003-03-30 | @ | MIL | L | 87 - 109 |
| 2003-03-31 | vs | MIL | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2003-04-02 | @ | BOS | L | 62 - 90 |
| 2003-04-04 | @ | NJN | L | 83 - 99 |
| 2003-04-06 | @ | IND | L | 69 - 90 |
| 2003-04-08 | vs | TOR | W | 89 - 83 |
| 2003-04-11 | vs | WAS | L | 87 - 91 |
| 2003-04-13 | vs | BOS | L | 86 - 94 |
| 2003-04-15 | @ | TOR | W | 103 - 99 |
2003 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Caron Butler
|
G | 21 | 35.4 | 18.2 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 14.1 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 47.5 | 32.7 | 82.8 | - | 56.1 | 50.5 |
| Brian Grant | G | 22 | 28.6 | 10.4 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 11.9 | - | - | - | 50.9 | 0 | 83.6 | - | 56.7 | 50.9 |
Eddie House
|
G | 15 | 20.1 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 39.7 | 31.0 | 88.2 | - | 46.9 | 44.2 |
Rasual Butler
|
G | 22 | 26.6 | 9.6 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 10.2 | 4.4 | - | - | - | 35.1 | 28.4 | 76.7 | - | 43.5 | 39.8 |
| Mike James | G | 20 | 20.9 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 41.1 | 27.8 | 66.7 | - | 50.0 | 46.2 |
| Malik Allen | G | 22 | 24.5 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 0.0 | 91.9 | - | 44.2 | 38.9 |
| Vladimir Stepania | G | 21 | 21.3 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 0 | 55.6 | - | 46.2 | 43.8 |
| LaPhonso Ellis | G | 14 | 15.9 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 4.4 | - | - | - | 39.0 | 21.9 | 72.7 | - | 47.4 | 43.3 |
| Travis Best | G | 22 | 19.0 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 24.2 | 84.6 | - | 41.3 | 36.4 |
| Anthony Carter | G | 21 | 21.5 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 38.1 | 0.0 | 75.9 | - | 43.3 | 38.1 |
| Sean Lampley | G | 19 | 13.4 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 46.4 | 0.0 | 65.1 | - | 53.4 | 46.4 |
| Sean Marks | F | 2 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Ken Johnson | G | 13 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 41.4 | 41.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG