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Miami Heat

Also known as: Miami Heat
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 821 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 756 (#29) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.3 More → -9.8 (#29) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.232 (#29) -

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-03-07 vs DAL L 89 - 91
2003-03-08 vs DEN L 92 - 98
2003-03-10 vs UTA L 73 - 83
2003-03-11 @ CLE W 77 - 75
2003-03-14 vs NOH L 83 - 87
2003-03-15 @ WAS L 82 - 89
2003-03-18 vs PHI L 83 - 103
2003-03-19 @ ORL L 93 - 109
2003-03-21 vs TOR W 107 - 98
2003-03-23 vs ORL L 74 - 96
2003-03-25 @ MIN L 91 - 108
2003-03-26 @ CHI L 74 - 82
2003-03-28 vs MIN W 111 - 84
2003-03-30 @ MIL L 87 - 109
2003-03-31 vs MIL L 86 - 91
2003-04-02 @ BOS L 62 - 90
2003-04-04 @ NJN L 83 - 99
2003-04-06 @ IND L 69 - 90
2003-04-08 vs TOR W 89 - 83
2003-04-11 vs WAS L 87 - 91
2003-04-13 vs BOS L 86 - 94
2003-04-15 @ TOR W 103 - 99

2003 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caron Butler Caron Butler G 21 35.4 18.2 4.3 3.1 2.0 0.5 3.0 14.1 11.0 - - - 47.5 32.7 82.8 - 56.1 50.5
Brian Grant G 22 28.6 10.4 8.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.5 8.0 11.9 - - - 50.9 0 83.6 - 56.7 50.9
Eddie House Eddie House G 15 20.1 9.6 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.1 1.1 9.7 3.1 - - - 39.7 31.0 88.2 - 46.9 44.2
Rasual Butler Rasual Butler G 22 26.6 9.6 3.5 1.8 0.5 0.8 1.5 10.2 4.4 - - - 35.1 28.4 76.7 - 43.5 39.8
Mike James G 20 20.9 8.3 1.8 3.2 0.5 0.1 1.4 7.3 5.2 - - - 41.1 27.8 66.7 - 50.0 46.2
Malik Allen G 22 24.5 8.1 4.9 0.6 0.3 0.8 1.2 8.4 5.1 - - - 38.9 0.0 91.9 - 44.2 38.9
Vladimir Stepania G 21 21.3 6.9 6.9 0.3 0.6 0.3 1.0 6.5 7.4 - - - 43.8 0 55.6 - 46.2 43.8
LaPhonso Ellis G 14 15.9 6.2 4.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.9 5.9 4.4 - - - 39.0 21.9 72.7 - 47.4 43.3
Travis Best G 22 19.0 5.3 2.0 2.7 0.5 0.1 1.4 5.9 3.4 - - - 33.3 24.2 84.6 - 41.3 36.4
Anthony Carter G 21 21.5 4.9 2.0 4.9 1.0 0.1 1.9 5.0 6.0 - - - 38.1 0.0 75.9 - 43.3 38.1
Sean Lampley G 19 13.4 4.2 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.9 4.6 - - - 46.4 0.0 65.1 - 53.4 46.4
Sean Marks F 2 9.0 3.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 54.3 50.0
Ken Johnson G 13 10.4 2.5 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 2.8 2.5 - - - 41.7 0 33.3 - 41.4 41.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG