Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (83-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 42 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| David Wesley * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| George Lynch * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Alexander * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Stacey Augmon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jerome Moiso | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 45 | 11-25 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Travis Best * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 27 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Mike James * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter