Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (86-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 43 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 24 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 16 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Marcus Haislip * | 14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 41 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 41 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Eddie House * | 29 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Mike James * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Travis Best * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter