Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (86-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 41 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 10-22 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 34 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Grant Long | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ken Johnson * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Travis Best | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mike James | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter