Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Eddie House * | 24 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Travis Best * | 18 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Eddy Curry * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Robinson * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 25 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jay Williams * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rick Brunson * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter