Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 2-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Travis Best * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 22 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike James * | 21 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ken Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 21 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Austin Croshere | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter