Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (89-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jefferies * | 45 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Michael Bradley * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 20 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mamadou N'diaye * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Maceo Baston | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Travis Best * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Mike James * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Ken Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter