Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.6% | 11.4% | -11.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (89-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 8-22 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 40 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Evan Eschmeyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 39 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mike James * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Travis Best * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter