Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +22 (109-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James * | 35 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 35 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Eddie House * | 26 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Travis Best * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ken Johnson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 34 | 11-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 28 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 21 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Haislip | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter