Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +28 (90-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Eddie House * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 21 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mike James * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 15 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Travis Best * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ken Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 32 | 11-19 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 27 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Grant Long * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mark Bryant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter