Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.6% | 24.4% | -6.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Ostertag * | 38 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 38 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| John Stockton * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 34 | 2-15 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Mike James * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Travis Best * | 30 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter