Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (87-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jordan * | 39 | 11-26 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 6 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 43 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ken Johnson * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Travis Best * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike James | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter