Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +17 (108-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 26 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 19 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Travis Best * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Mike James * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ken Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 32 | 10-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Marc Jackson * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 23 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mike Wilks * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Loren Woods | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter