Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 40 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Travis Best * | 39 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mike James * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 44 | 6-22 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Michael Stewart * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tierre Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter