Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +16 (99-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Eddie House * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Travis Best * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mike James * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 41 | 11-20 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kerry Kittles * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Rogers * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tamar Slay | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter