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2003-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +7 (89-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caron Butler * 41 4-15 1-5 5-8 4 5 3 1 3 14 9 -
Brian Grant * 38 7-10 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 1 4 16 15 -
Travis Best * 32 6-12 2-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 0 16 13 -
Mike James * 30 3-10 1-4 1-1 4 7 0 0 0 8 9 -
Malik Allen * 29 6-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 4 14 7 -
Rasual Butler * 27 5-12 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 10 6 -
Vladimir Stepania * 21 0-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 0 5 -
Sean Lampley * 11 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Anthony Carter 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerry Stackhouse * 41 11-22 1-4 14-15 5 5 1 1 0 37 27 -
Michael Jordan * 39 9-18 0-1 1-1 8 1 2 2 3 19 11 -
Christian Laettner * 33 4-10 0-0 0-2 12 5 3 1 0 8 19 -
Brendan Haywood * 29 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 3 2 4 8 -
Tyronn Lue * 27 1-6 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -
Bryon Russell * 20 1-3 0-1 3-6 7 0 2 1 0 5 12 -
Larry Hughes * 20 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 2 -
Kwame Brown * 12 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jahidi White * 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Charles Oakley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Bobby Simmons 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter