Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin Williams * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 34 | 13-23 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Michael Bradley * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Mamadou N'diaye * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 17 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Chris Jefferies * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 31 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 25 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Travis Best * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Sean Lampley * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ken Johnson * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mike James * | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter