Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (92-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Predrag Savovic * | 15 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasual Butler * | 39 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Mike James * | 26 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Travis Best * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eddie House * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Marks | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter