Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -22 (74-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 32 | 15-27 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Olumide Oyedeji * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Eddie House * | 29 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Travis Best * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ken Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter