Minnesota Lynx
2017 Team Stats (42 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1261 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1226 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1161 (#1) | HCA +63 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +10.3 (#1) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +11.0 (#1) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.814 (#1) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.808 (#1) | AdjNet +12.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.810 (#1) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.714 (#1) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.712 (#1) | AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.777 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.776 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1221 (#1) | RD 83 | GP 42 |
2017 Schedule & Results
2017 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sylvia Fowles
|
Guard | 44 | 31.0 | 18.3 | 10.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 11.4 | 19.9 | - | - | - | - | 64.5 | 0 | 73.6 | - | 67.6 | 64.5 |
M. Moore
|
F | 43 | 31.3 | 17.3 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 13.4 | 12.7 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 42.4 | 83.3 | - | 57.1 | 52.3 |
S. Augustus
|
G | 42 | 27.8 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 7.8 | - | - | - | - | 49.7 | 45.3 | 79.2 | - | 55.2 | 53.4 |
R. Brunson
|
F | 40 | 26.5 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 43.9 | 31.6 | 73.6 | - | 52.9 | 47.6 |
S. Ting
|
F | 2 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 81.0 | 77.8 |
L. Whalen
|
G | 32 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.7 | 6.3 | - | - | - | - | 44.9 | 32.6 | 76.4 | - | 52.1 | 48.1 |
R. Montgomery
|
G | 44 | 20.6 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 43.0 | 36.9 | 83.6 | - | 56.4 | 52.6 |
B. Richardson
|
- | 2 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 63.5 | 57.1 |
Billy Celuck
|
- | 42 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 3.1 | - | - | - | - | 42.3 | 34.5 | 73.1 | - | 50.2 | 48.0 |
Natasha Howard
|
F | 43 | 11.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 47.3 | 21.1 | 78.0 | - | 53.8 | 48.7 |
J. Perkins
|
G | 44 | 15.9 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 36.4 | 32.1 | 83.3 | - | 44.7 | 41.2 |
M. Mack
|
- | 2 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 60.8 | 37.5 |
A. Jones
|
G | 36 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 35.0 | 40.0 | 76.2 | - | 47.2 | 43.7 |
Temi Fagbenle
|
C | 25 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 54.3 | 0 | 81.8 | - | 59.0 | 54.3 |
Cecilia Zandalasini
|
F | 8 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.1 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
C. Osahor
|
- | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2017 Shot Zones
2964 located field-goal attempts in 44 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Sylvia FowlesM. MooreS. AugustusR. BrunsonR. MontgomeryL. Whalen
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 646-1032 | 62.6 | 1292 | Sylvia Fowles 42% (546 pts) | M. Moore 13% (162 pts) | Sylvia Fowles 34% (133 misses) | R. Brunson 11% (42 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 184-413 | 44.6 | 368 | Sylvia Fowles 21% (78 pts) | S. Augustus 20% (72 pts) | R. Brunson 18% (41 misses) | Sylvia Fowles 16% (37 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 135-319 | 42.3 | 270 | S. Augustus 35% (94 pts) | M. Moore 33% (90 pts) | M. Moore 35% (65 misses) | S. Augustus 26% (48 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 69-190 | 36.3 | 138 | S. Augustus 32% (44 pts) | M. Moore 14% (20 pts) | S. Augustus 23% (28 misses) | M. Moore 19% (23 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 133-333 | 39.9 | 266 | S. Augustus 30% (80 pts) | M. Moore 19% (50 pts) | M. Moore 26% (53 misses) | S. Augustus 22% (43 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 8-20 | 40.0 | 24 | M. Moore 38% (9 pts) | J. Perkins 12% (3 pts) | L. Whalen 25% (3 misses) | J. Perkins 17% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-13 | 38.5 | 15 | M. Moore 40% (6 pts) | R. Montgomery 40% (6 pts) | M. Moore 50% (4 misses) | Billy Celuck 12% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 96-245 | 39.2 | 288 | M. Moore 27% (78 pts) | R. Montgomery 19% (54 pts) | M. Moore 30% (44 misses) | R. Montgomery 13% (20 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 66-166 | 39.8 | 198 | M. Moore 30% (60 pts) | Billy Celuck 15% (30 pts) | R. Montgomery 23% (23 misses) | R. Brunson 19% (19 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 82-233 | 35.2 | 246 | M. Moore 33% (81 pts) | R. Montgomery 24% (60 pts) | R. Montgomery 26% (40 misses) | M. Moore 23% (35 misses) |