Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -17 (74-91). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 32 | 8-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 27 | 14-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Saniya Chong | 15 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Evelyn Akhator | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Breanna Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter