Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -17 (74-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 36 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| M. Moore | 32 | 8-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| S. Fowles | 28 | 14-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| P. Pierson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Perkins | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Howard | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jones | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 36 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| A. Gray | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Davis | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Chong | 15 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Thornton | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| E. Akhator | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Lewis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter