Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 27 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers | 19 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 32 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 17 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter