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2017-08-27

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles * 38 8-13 0-0 1-2 14 1 0 0 2 17 17 -
Maya Moore * 31 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 10 2 -
Seimone Augustus * 23 4-8 1-1 0-0 0 6 0 0 2 9 5 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 19 3-5 1-2 0-2 6 0 0 1 4 7 5 -
Renee Montgomery * 18 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 7 4 -
Jia Perkins 24 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 3 0 2 2 2 -
Alexis Jones 21 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 6 -
Natasha Howard 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
Plenette Pierson 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chelsea Gray * 38 6-12 1-4 3-4 6 5 3 0 1 16 17 -
Candace Parker * 35 9-17 3-6 3-5 10 3 2 0 2 24 20 -
Odyssey Sims * 32 5-15 0-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 12 1 -
Alana Beard * 27 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 3 2 0 4 7 -
Nneka Ogwumike * 23 4-9 0-3 0-1 6 4 1 0 1 8 9 -
Essence Carson 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Jantel Lavender 17 3-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
Tiffany Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter