Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Alex Montgomery * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Monique Currie | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 25 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 24 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 19 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter