Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 34 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| R. Brunson | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Fowles | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Perkins | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Howard | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Pierson | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 31 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D. Robinson | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| S. Talbot | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Currie | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Robinson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Y. Turner | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| E. Cannon | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. George | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter