Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (83-91). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 33 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Smith * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Monique Currie | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Angel Robinson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Cayla George | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter