Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -2 (87-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 35 | 6-20 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Paris * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Saniya Chong | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Breanna Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter