Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 21 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Morgan Tuck * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Williams | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter