Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +2 (80-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Tuck * | 36 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 31 | 6-15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 27 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Courtney Williams | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter