Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 29 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Riquna Williams * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Essence Carson | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 28 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 24 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter