Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✗ (37.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +36 (105-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Smith * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 23 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Cayla George | 14 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 27 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 26 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 15 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter