Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +1.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -6 (64-70). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 36 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Wiese | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter