Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -17 (71-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 33 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| S. Augustus | 32 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| S. Fowles | 26 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Brunson | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Perkins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Howard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 5-17 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Robinson | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Talbot | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Currie | 16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. Cannon | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. George | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Robinson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Prince | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter