Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +26 (100-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| A. Gray | 33 | 4-17 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 29 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Thornton | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Chong | 16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Paris | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Lewis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Akhator | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 29 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Moore | 27 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| S. Augustus | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Fowles | 25 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 28 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Whalen | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Perkins | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| P. Pierson | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Howard | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jones | 5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter