Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (24.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +26 (100-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 34 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 33 | 4-17 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Saniya Chong | 15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Breanna Lewis | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Evelyn Akhator | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 27 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 25 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Jones | 4 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter