Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -1 (84-85). Ratings: 2018 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 35 | 10-16 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Essence Carson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 37 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 36 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 17 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter