Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 36 | 6-19 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 10 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Sequoia Holmes | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 30 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 22 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter